Saturday, November 11, 2006

Change It MORE!

Rightly taken to task over the content of this most recent post, I’m going to engage in that grand old blog tradition of walkin’ it back a little, calling it clarification, and writing Hewitt-style “Fuck you, liberal cocksucker!” emails to anyone who has the future temerity to call it inconsistency.

Jim rightly points out that the tone, at very least, of that prior post makes it seem as if the realpolitickers are doing it all out of the goodness of their hearts, occupying foreign lands to sap a resource that the poor schmoes back home need desperately but don’t think about—that so-called realism, in other words, is realistic, at least insofar as it confronts the acquisition of vital resources for a nation of rubes living on fantasy, football, and a few thousand gallons of middle octane every year, the last of whose provenance they think of, if at all, only in the bumper-sticker terms of “Who put our oil under their sand?”—a mindset unfortunately amenable to foreign adventures in Crude Country, at least until the body count begins to rise.

I see on rereading that that’s pretty much the point I made, though not the point I wanted to make. Clumsy, hurried, and full of pique is no way to go through life, son, to paraphrase an old favorite. So, to revise:

There are two trends at work. The first is the American addiction to energy, particularly though not exclusively in the form of personal transportation. We’re a motoring people. We live far from our jobs. With the exception of a few, mostly coastal cities, even our major urban centers are unwalkable, unbussable, unsubwayable, even uncabbable. Even having done some work on urban development, I remain amazed at the total centrality of parking to any development scheme or real estate project. It is the primary consideration: before aesthetics, before traffic flow, before number of units or percentage of retail to residential space—parking.

To some degree, our car addiction is a natural working of the market, although the particular conditions of the market—namely super-cheap fuel—were clearly temporary, and inevitably so, in retrospect. Post-war America was affluent, gas was cheap, land was plentiful, and, of course, the cities were now full of scary brown people making political demands, so off went whitey to his cul-de-sac, his two-car garage, and his half an acre.

But to an equal if not greater degree, the reshaping of the American community to its auto-centric incarnation was one more example of planning gone awry. (Damn you, Eisenhower!) It was the government that built the interstate highway system, the arterial parkways and the bypasses that brought rural land, often former farmland, into the clutches of developers. It was agricultural conglomeration and government subsidy that undercut regional agriculture across the country, depressed rural land values, and made all those Rolling Hill Acres and Heritage Estates and whatever else available to be subdivided and parceled out to the formerly not-so and now newly credit-worthy refugees. These were not livable communities, really. Most of them didn’t—and don’t—even have sidewalks. It was government zoning laws and regulations, crafted in tandem with subsidy-hungry developers, that threw up impediments to mixed-use development and building, which helped grow the strip malls, the big box stores, the endless parking lots, the sprawling exurbs . . . It was, in other words, government intervention as much as private enterprise that created car-dependent America.

Motoring America runs on gas, and motoring America doesn’t like to pay world retail for its fuel.

Now the United States has been mucking around in the Middle East for the last half-century because of a powerful misperception that goes something like this: Arabs are crazy, violent, and probably prone to socialism. Give them a chance and they’ll go Red, and even if they don’t, they’ll use oil against us, jacking up the prices, demanding preferential treatment, impeding the natural global hegemony of this, the greatest nation in the country. Our government has long-praised and little-practiced the market economics it preaches. It is the delusion of our governors, the supposed realists, the dogged and true imperialists, that our access to energy, in particular our cheap access to energy, and certainly our exclusive access, should that every become necessary, depends on our control of the political destinies of Middle-Eastern states. No two-bit Ayatollahs are gonna milk the Great Satan at the pump; no tin-pot pan-Arabist; no neo-communists; no nobody.

Of course, our continual intervention in the hopes of preventing these impediments is the principle catalyst for their genesis. In reality, if we just left the poor bastards alone—or if we had left them alone, anyway—we’d probably be in decent shape. What, after all, is their incentive to deny the world’s wealthiest nation a product it desperately wants to buy? As Jim wrote: all you need to ensure access to a commodity is a functioning market.

It is, unfortunately, too late to put the coups and revolutions and invasions and interventions back in the bottle. That’s why it will be necessary to consider and to enact fundamental changes in the geographic organization of our communities. Oil production almost surely will decline, and even if not, fifty years of ill-considered meddling by an American government that mistakenly considered such meddling essential to its domestic economy has led inexorably to a situation where not even immediate and total disengagement would lead to a practicable trade environment. We’re fucked so far as that’s concerned, at least for the foreseeable future.

So long as we persist in our disproportionate consumption of energy, and so long as the delusion persists that we cannot secure access to energy without securing air-bases near the oil-fields—and who, honestly, thinks anyone in power will be disabused of that delusion anytime soon—adventurism and imperialism in the Middle East are unavoidable outcomes. I am not certain, needless to say, of the best manner to divest ourselves of oil dependency on a scale sufficient to affect our national foreign policy. I think that investing in urban development and urban real estate is a good way to start. I think that supporting regional agriculture as a consumer is also a good way to start. I think that so long as we depend on government investment in transportation infrastructure, we should advocate as forcefully as possible for public transportation infrastructure for several good reasons aside from reduced energy use. It’s cheaper to build. The cost of a single highway interchange could fund thirty miles of light rail. It’s less invasive to the natural geography of a community. Compare the impact of a light rail line, a new bus route, or a subway to that of a new highway. Because such development requires less land, it involves less eminent domain; it involves fewer neighborhoods carved up by six lanes and sound barriers. And, of course, public transit, if utilized, is less tax-dependent in the long-run because it self-subsidizes with fees and fares.

All of this is terribly small compared to the forces driving the American military around the world in search of . . . whatever. But nevertheless . . .

12 comments:

Anonymous said...

IOZ - Both your posts, and the one at High Clearing are a very interesting discussion. Let me add one other element to the mix: the Cold War.

You rightly note that we have been meddling in the ME for the last half century, since the outset of the Cold War. Securing the ME oil fields for our own use was, in part (and a large part in my view), simply a matter of securing the supply lines for our military in case of a war with the Soviet Union. What do you think all of those tanks, planes and carriers run on? And it isn't as if the Soviet Union wasn't doing its own meddling as well. Consider also, the global commodity market for oil was not nearly as well-developed then as it is now.

The evolution of our automobile culture has only served to re-inforce this drive to control ME oil. That, along with plain old inertia.

And many of the neocons are quite convined that part of the Saudi royal family has embraced Wahhabism, and would willingly cut off oil supplies to the world and throw their country into economic collapse. (Color me skeptical on this point.) They believe that over the next 10-20 years, we will see a serious divide between the Wahhabists and the more Western-oriented side of the family, and it is not clear who will prevail. Functioning markets are all well and good, but let's not overlook the fact that roughly 2/3 of oil reserves are controlled by state-owned enterprises.

Stickeen said...

Although Henley may be right about the missing-dot-connection twixt the "realist's" motivation and our oil addiction, that's not really a difficult step, and one that may be left to the reader. The other flaw in Henley's post is that he seems to assume "realist" is synonymous with "rational:" the rational course for a realist would have been to keep purchasing oil from Saddam. But, of course, the "realists" in the Administration are stupid, incompetent, short-sighted, lacking knowledge of history, anything but rational.

Dawn Coyote said...

I thought the Iraq war was about competition with China for ME oil? I suppose that comes under ensuring access to oil at a reasonable price.

Your view is pragmatic. Lamenting the ME oil situation seems, at this point, comparable to complaining that we neglected to evolve proper modifications to the spine when we elected to walk upright. Better to move onto ergonomic innovations.

At some point, city planners declined to put a highway through the city of Vancouver, feeling that it would have a negative impact on neighbourhoods. As a result of this, the city now faces the predicament of six or seven hours of rush-hour congestion daily. Add to this the constraints of commuting to a downtown core located on a small peninsula, and you’ve got a city very motivated to explore alternative forms of transportation.

Despite Vancouver’s rain, using a bike as one’s chief means of transportation is a reasonable alternative to an automobile. I rode this way for two years and enjoyed it a great deal. And that was before city businesses began incorporating facilities for cycling commuters, with showers and lockers and bike rooms.

Vancouver transit makes accommodations for bikes, providing racks on the front of buses. We also have pedestrian ferries and are building more light rail routes.

Under the influence of some enlightened planners, new development in the urban core has become sublimely livable, with seawall strolls that incorporate public art, restaurants, shops, cafe's, as well as outdoor squash and tennis courts, and community centres that are tailored to the needs of urban families. With all the amenities available, a car becomes an unnecessary

I recall hearing some discussion about limiting vehicle access to downtown, or charging a toll for vehicles to come into the peninsula. It seemed ludicrous at the time, but just a few years later, it seems like something the city could manage without much fuss.

We’re just that good.

Dawn Coyote said...

"a car becomes an unnecessary..." encumberance.

Handsome said...

Fear not, O IOZ.

That foot will always be you.

Handsome said...

More substantively --

I did two years or so in the Tampa City Clerk's office, and the experience was an eye opener. I can affirm and attest to your notation in re: the central necessity of planning out the parking for any new development before they work on anything else. If there is, after all, no place for people to park, then there's no point in development. People, it is implicitely understood, will never take the BUS to your new mini mall, much less frickin' walk. They will die first. Or worse, drive their cars and their money to someone else's mini mall. Can't have that.

Which brings me to another notion your post prompted -- the idea that we could get a great deal more mass transportation bang for our tax payer funded transportation buck then we currently get building, rebuilding, and continually maintaining the highway infrastructure is certainly food for thought. Unfortunately, it's sugar free, fat free, low carb diet food. By which I mean, sure it's healthy, but hardly anyone is willing to buy it, much less eat it.

People like cars. I know you know that, but, well, it's the kind of sentiment that cannot be overstated. It goes to eleven. People like cars. They like what they perceive as the freedom and the flexibility implicit within the sleek lines of their driveway ornament.

They don't have to look up train schedules, they don't have to walk in the rain to a bus stop, they don't have to sit there in a large vehicle with a bunch of strangers whose appearances, body odors, or vacuous blatting noises they may find unpleasant. They need not conform their destinations with the inconveniences of a planning board's transit routes. Freedom from all of this is what they like, and what they will never, never, never give up. Forget about their guns. It's their steering wheels you will have to pry from their cold, dead hands.

While I was spending two years typing up a backlog of City Council minutes, I noticed many things, and one of them was this: you can always get votes for improved mass transit systems. Always. There are always city council members willing to make, second, and overwhelmingly approve the motion; there are always citizens willing to vote in huge masses for candidates that propose such.

But this doesn't mean all these people are willing to use the subway, the improved bus lines, the light rail, oh no. The vision that dances like sugarplums in all of their heads is that everyone else gets on the frickin' George Jetson atomic hover-bus, leaving each of them to speed down John F. Kennedy Boulevard (there's always a John F. Kennedy Boulevard, just as, running at right angles to it, there's always a Martin Luther King Avenue, too) in splendid solitude behind the wheel of their huge honkin' SUV.

It's why, when politicians promise us alternate energy, what we all envision is, you know, somebody from NASA coming around to our garage Real Soon Now and rejiggering our car engines to run on water. Or cold fusion. Or lawn sweepings. Now that's what we pay taxes for, dammit!

Always remember, never forget: the American way of life is non-negotiable. Unfortunately, what most people don't understand about that quote is that what he really meant was, we pay them, they stay rich. There's no profit in free energy, and there's much less profit in teaching a nation of consumers to only shop within walking distance, or on the bus route. So, y'know, fuck that noise.

Brian said...

Dawn: all good points. But I would note that Seatlle, which HAS built plenty of freeways, the Bay Area, and even Houston, all have long periods of traffic congestion. Traffic congestion is inevitable. Heck, ancient Rome was a commuter's nightmare. I still think you city's decision is on balance the better one, because although Vancouver didn't destroy its neighborhoods to move regional traffic, destroying such neighborhoods-and facilitating the sprawl even further-would still not "solve" congestion. It's an unsolvable problem.

Keifus said...

I'd be surprised if you were reading and all, but huh. Been along these lines myself, much less eloquently.

Handsome: I envision solar and lean, lean times. In the best possible case.

IOZ said...

Of course I've been reading.

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