Saturday, February 09, 2008

Stuff That Is Going to Happen

I think I've said it before, but since Yglesias is feeling predictive, I'll say it again: Clinton is it. Of course, I thought Willard was going to win on the Goopster side. It would've been better if he had. McCain is going to get torn the fuck up.

Posted by IOZ at 11:26 AM | email »
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12 comments:

la Rana said...

Pessimist!

1:35 PM
Comandante Agí said...

Super delegates for Clinton. She wins with a point delegate spread of 150.

1:45 PM
Anonymous said...

i know you're smart and all (like, way smarter than yglesias), but i must ask: what are you basing this prediction on? is it that obama will most likely win three of four competitions tonight? or is it the fact that no major polling has been done on the rest of the primary states? is it the super delegates, who haven't actually comitted yet?
seriously, why are you so sure of yourself? i'm curious.

2:27 PM
LA Confidential Pantload said...

Yeah, I thought it would be Romney, since Mittlard had wads of cash and a panderin' style that really reminds me of Bill Clinton. Figured Hilary for the donkle - Obama's fun, but no human being could live up to the kind of expectations his acolytes have been hyping. And I don't think I'd be too crazy about a President who could. Doesn't matter too much to me in any event, since I don't vote for Republicans or Democrats.

2:46 PM
AlanSmithee said...

Well, yeah. That was decided last year. She's already got her presidential stationary on order.

3:18 PM
la Rana said...

Anon, I will just note that you find modeling of the unknowable future a more reliable base of predictions than, say, the known past.

4:22 PM
Anonymous said...

We're headed for a disaster no matter who warms their cheeks on the high chair in the Oval Office.

That said, the one thing I keep noticing about Obama supporters is that while they all have wonderfully convincing, impressive and compelling personal reasons for supporting the guy, you never get the same answer twice. Remove Obama from the equation, and this mass of Obama Girls and Boys still have very little to say to each other.

Whereas Hillary's army (silent or otherwise) - I'm talking about her footsoldiers, not her piggish fundraisers or the party insiders - is much more focused on just what issues she is supposed to be a standard bearer of. If Hillary loses, they will continue to identify with each other (more or less) on those specific issues and eventually they will produce another candidate to replace Hillary. If Obama loses, those kidz are going to scatter. Again.

6:11 PM
Anonymous said...

I don't think McCain is going to get torn up as much as you think. I think he is going to (be forced) take Huckabee as running mate, uniting the wacko Jaysus! wing of the GOP with the warmonger wing of the GOP.

Not too sure about Clinton winning the nom either (not any more). It appears that Obama is drawing more enthusiasm and "momentum" than Clinton. There IS a chance of a crack in the Dems if Clinton gets too clingy for the nom against the desires of the Obamanites.

10:34 PM
LA Confidential Pantload said...

Jeez, decisions, decisions...Huckabee for the Jebusoids or Lieberman for the neocons...McCain '08!

IOZ, did you see Matt Taibbi's Rolling Stone piece about the "Chicken Doves?" You'll get a kick out of it,

11:25 PM
Anonymous said...

wow, la rana is smart, too. two smart people. on the same internet! what are the odds?
anyway, still wondering why "clinton is it". another glib response will do fine (it's just so damn cool when people with straight-forward questions get belittled).

4:04 AM
Isys said...

Romney would have been better because McCain is going to get torn up implies what? That Ioz preferred Romney to Obama?

Check out Chris Floyd's latest article---an attack on Romney that is one of the most scathing articles Chris has ever written.

7:06 AM
Anonymous said...

See, I was for Fred Thompson from the beginning. You gotta respect a dude who doesn't even particularly act like he even wants to be President while running for President. He probably would have been the safest choice of all on either side, as he was just so damn low-key.

6:05 PM

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