Friday, June 26, 2009

Perstroika

This Krauthammer 40,000 column is so utterly and extraordinarily insane that it achieves a sort of majesty. Like the highest attainments of lyric poetry, it totally resists paraphrasis, and I urge you to read it all. Bref: Mir Hussein Moussavi could be Yeltsin . . . must be Yeltsin, once cast in the endless psychodrama that is the American version of world history as a bewildered Russian drunk with an occasional mean streak, now cast by Krauthammer as if he were the figure around which Russian popular protest coalesced to bring down the Soviet Union. Which, needless to say, is not what happened. Yeltsin did manage to beat back Communist recidivists, but then got himself mired in a two-year bitch-fugue with the Russian parliament, eventually calling in the tanks to shell the legislature into submission. Then he sold off the entire Russian economy to six former KGB agents and four members of the old politburo, drank himself silly, resigned, and effectively went into hiding. Vladimir Putin, the tiger-killing god-emperor of the steppe took over, and now notably occupies one of the prime spots in Krauthammer's personal gallery of villains.

The Krauthammerian takeaway: the most desirable outcome for Iran would be a momentary pseudodemocratic caesura followed by the rise to power of a truly brilliant and capable strongman who will with acumen, aplomb, and efficiency consolidate Iran's position as the preeminent regional power and a decidedly recalcitrant, revanchist player on the world stage. (To be fair: this seems to me as good an outcome as any, but by the prevailing Washington Post logic would represent absolute defeat and failure.) Seriously:

Unless Mousavi rises to it, or another rises in his place, Iran's democratic uprising will end not as Russia 1991, but as China 1989.
Now, twenty years later, Russia is "defying" . . . someone or other in Georgia, wagging its dick at the Ukraine, flipping off the EU, and in general causing nothing but trouble for the satellites and allies of the American hegemon. China, meanwhile, is bankrolling the West, producing cheap goods, and keeping US symphonies afloat by booking them to play goodwill tours in East Asia. If Iran's "Green Revolution" represents their own Tienanmen, then we might consider ourselves lucky . . . as might the Iranians, who in a mere generation could be the powerhouse economy of the near Orient.

16 comments:

Anonymous said...

Sounds like the ol' Romantic Savior Analogy Putty to me.

mds said...

Krauthammer 40,000

Damn, that's nerdy and pertinent. I salute you, Monsieur.

TGGP said...

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita had an interesting podcast on how Yeltsin & Gorbachev dismantled the Soviet Union a while back. He also had a TED talk on Iran recently, but I'm too lazy to find the link.

Thomas Daulton said...

Here I was just wondering how many people really "get" the running Krauthammer 40,000 gag, when mds posts his comment. Minimum of three of us then. Yes, it's brilliant. Hats off!

periscopedepth said...

In the grim darkness of the WaPo editorial page there is only war.

(Four of us, Tommy)

William Burns said...

Five

Thomas Daulton said...

Hell, break out the miniatures. We could get a game going in this hyeah comments section.

Anonymous said...

Somebody mind enlightening me about the Krauthammer 40,000 reference?

Thanks in advance.
SG

mds said...

Somebody mind enlightening me about the Krauthammer 40,000 reference?



If you have to ask, you'll never know.

the_system said...

Because I love pissing on wannabe inside jokes, SG, behold the truth and weep.

Anonymous said...

the_system IS the solution.
SG

Kafka said...

If you have to ask, you'll never know.
Dick

SteveB said...

They need a leader like Boris Yeltsin: a former establishment figure with newly revolutionary credentials and legitimacy, who stands on a tank and gives the opposition direction by calling for the unthinkable -- the abolition of the old political order.



Well, if you don't have any tanks, it's kinda hard to have your leaders stand on them. But maybe Krauthammer thinks surplus tanks are just lying around downtown Tehran, ready to be used as inspirational revolutionary stage props?

And this is what passes for historical "analysis" in the pages of the WaPo: not, "Maybe Yeltsin had the Army on his side, and that's why he won", but "Hey, standin' on a tank looks really cool - why don't them Iranian protestors do that?"

Cüneyt said...

I'd like to see Krauthammer stand on a tank.

Phillip Allen said...

I'd like to see Krauthammer under a tank -- tank tread, that is...

Dunc said...

Because I love pissing on wannabe inside jokes, SG, behold the truth and weep.

Ah, but the wiki article is too dry to give the proper flavour of the comparison, for that you want the TV Tropes entry.